Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookies Use. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • About

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

Tweets

Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

Tweets

  • © 2021 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Jun 2020

    Something I've been playing with - if you meta-analyze IFRs based on serological samples by the proportion of people who test positive, places where lots of people have gotten COVID-19 are worse off (0.81% IFR vs 0.45%)pic.twitter.com/jIbXhj2hOK

    8:21 PM - 29 Jun 2020
    • 11 Retweets
    • 20 Likes
    • Constantinos Kyriakis Yvan Dutil Lazarus Long Ketofan1000 Andrew Ryan LIndenArden Russ Conser Lord Blood Juan Cambeiro💡
    7 replies 11 retweets 20 likes
      1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Jun 2020

        Two reasons I've thought might explain this (speculative): 1. Higher % with antibodies means harder-hit hospital system, therefore higher IFR 2. Lower % more prey to false positives, overestimating prevalence and thus underestimating IFR

        4 replies 5 retweets 17 likes
        Show this thread
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. New conversation
      2. Lance Paddock‏ @ThompsoncreekW 30 Jun 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        What about the possibility that with higher spread efforts of the vulnerable to avoid exposure break down, this altering the case mix?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Lance Paddock‏ @ThompsoncreekW 30 Jun 2020
        Replying to @ThompsoncreekW @GidMK

        “Thus altering the case mix?”

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. David Steadson  🇦🇺 🇸🇪 🇪🇺 🌍‏ @DavidSteadson 30 Jun 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        Some of those CIs though .... heck, all of them, really.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. Andreas Prucha  🔴 🟡‏ @AndreasPrucha 30 Jun 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        Also noticed that. My guesses: Overwhelmed hospitals (some may not get the treatment they need and health care workers cannot take care as much anymore). Second guess: If it's spreading heavily in the wild it's even more difficult to shield more vulnerable ppl.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. Frank Taeger‏ @Shiyanying 1 Jul 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        Maybe a genetic reason? Susceptible populations may similarly get infected more and die more often. Or the higher the numbers, the more likely it.hits susceptibles?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. Atomsk's Sanakan‏ @AtomsksSanakan 1 Jul 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        Re: "2. Lower % more prey to false positives, overestimating prevalence and thus underestimating IFR" For those who want some more context: https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1278468845615738880 …pic.twitter.com/ErAqqMJE5n

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. LIndenArden‏ @inden_l Mar 31
        Replying to @GidMK

        That is one reason computing the global ifr seems almost pointless. Shouldn't the question be...what is likely ifr if my state, region has an outbreak? Your age-stratified ifrs would seem to provide more accurate info on that.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo

    Loading seems to be taking a while.

    Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

      Promoted Tweet

      false

      • © 2021 Twitter
      • About
      • Help Center
      • Terms
      • Privacy policy
      • Cookies
      • Ads info