That's largely wrong. Media sensationalism aside, the serosurveys were there to establish how widespread infections had been in the population, with some hoping that they'd show a vastly reduced mortality rate. In fact, they've mostly shown that mortality is high
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Replying to @GidMK
Don’t we also need to put context around these numbers based on age? Total IFR may be 0.2%-0.6%, higher than flu, but includes a lot of elderly medically fragile people. Exclude them as outliers (and protect them differently) and we have flu IFR, or less.
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Replying to @JuliaLBach8
If you exclude elderly, the IFR of flu drops drastically. Almost all influenza deaths are in <5yo and >65yo, whereas COVID-19 kills from 30+ The age-specific IFR of COVID is far higher than influenza as well
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Replying to @GidMK
Agreed that flu also drops lower if you exclude elderly. Both COVID and flu would be low.
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Replying to @JuliaLBach8
But COVID would be several dozen times more fatal than influenza. That's the point
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Replying to @GidMK
I grant that it will likely wind up more deadly (two years from now, when we actually have more accurate data). A dozen times? No.
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Replying to @JuliaLBach8
Broadly speaking, I'd guess somewhere around 50x more deadlyhttps://link.medium.com/vvJ4nREOy7
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Replying to @GidMK
Sounds like there’s still a lot of guesswork on how many asymptomatic flu patients there are. Might that interfere with your comparison of flu to COVID? https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/22/6/15-1080_article …
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Replying to @JuliaLBach8
Nope, because here I'm comparing like with like, including asymptomatic infections
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Replying to @GidMK
Are you assuming flu and COVID have exactly the same asymptomatic rate?
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