Not really true. Experts always knew that the IFR would be lower than the CFR, and that it would not be 3-4%. The fact that it is likely 0.5-1% has very little impact on policy compared to the information we already had
Broadly speaking, I'd guess somewhere around 50x more deadlyhttps://link.medium.com/vvJ4nREOy7
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Yes, I did read that a couple days ago!
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Sounds like there’s still a lot of guesswork on how many asymptomatic flu patients there are. Might that interfere with your comparison of flu to COVID? https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/22/6/15-1080_article …
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Nope, because here I'm comparing like with like, including asymptomatic infections
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From a citation in your article (https://www.ft.com/content/6bd88b7d-3386-4543-b2e9-0d5c6fac846c …), about excess deaths. I agree that we have seen excess deaths. I note he does not mention Germany, which did not make the boneheaded move of sending still-positive elderly back to their care homes.
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Re: excess deaths, people also avoided going to the hospital for strokes, appendicitis and heart attacks until it was too late. We have also seen more suicides due to unemployment, isolation. There’s a lot of fault to go around.
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