Will do my best to answer these w usual caveat that these reflect my own reading of the evidence at present 1/nhttps://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1272885634202570755 …
So, the challenge is that hospitalization figures are ongoing, while the seroprevalence figures are a static survey. I don't think from the studies I've seen that you can extrapolate a 'true' hospitalization risk, although there will probably also be a steep age gradient
-
-
Wait, found a source (in French) for total incidence of hospitalizations in Switzerland. This puts risk of hospitalization at (again, crudely): 0.06% - <20yo 0.15% - 20-49 0.77% - 50-64 4.40% - 65+ Should note that this is an underestimate, but the age trend is there
-
(it's an underestimate because, according to the source, data with missing date values is excluded from the dataset, which means there are hospitalizations not included in this calculation)
- Show replies
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.