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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 16 Jun 2020

      COVID-19 deaths and comparisons to influenza in the US: <10,000 - "it's not as bad as the flu in the US" 10,-60,000 - "it's the same as the flu in the US" 60,000+ - "it's not as bad as the flu...worldwide"

      4 replies 14 retweets 84 likes
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    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 16 Jun 2020

      Of note, the average number of deaths from influenza worldwide over the course of 12 months is ~350,000, so we passed that some time ago The average number of flu deaths in the US is ~40,000, which is about a third of the current number from COVID-19

      2 replies 13 retweets 43 likes
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      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 16 Jun 2020

      And worth remembering that those flu death averages are over 12 months, while COVID-19 has only been around in most places for a quarter of that time

      7:47 PM - 16 Jun 2020
      • 6 Retweets
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      • Alex Edwards Oscar A. Lizarazo-C ⚖️💊⚕️ Muzzpol Nina Milanov Smiljana Skiba Atomsk's Sanakan Noel O Connor🐄🐑 Anna Jurgensen Chomes
      6 replies 6 retweets 40 likes
        1. Vivek Das‏ @ivivek87 16 Jun 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          Who will tell them. Thanks for raising the points.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Felipe Nogueira‏ @felipejacknog 16 Jun 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          I guess most of covid-19 deaths are after + PCR result, but how much of the ~40,000 flu deaths are really lab-confirmed for influenza?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 16 Jun 2020
          Replying to @felipejacknog

          A small proportion. This is the other issue with these flu comparisons - those death figures are modeled estimates, while the COVID-19 deaths are individuals with clinical/PCR+ disease

          1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
        4. Show replies
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        2. PharmB‏ @BonellC 16 Jun 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          I’d like your take on this opinion piece - I’ve always been a little dubious of the “official” flu death totals - they seem ramped by people trying to sell tamiflu to government agencies. https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/comparing-covid-19-deaths-to-flu-deaths-is-like-comparing-apples-to-oranges/ …

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 16 Jun 2020
          Replying to @BonellC

          That piece is broadly correct. I don't think the CDC's flu numbers are 'wrong', per se, but reflect the challenge of accurately ascertaining causes of death

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. New conversation
        2. Avery D'Alessandro‏ @819studio 17 Jun 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          1M people die every month from starvation. We never hear a peep about it.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Paul Wareham  🇨🇦‏ @pwareham 17 Jun 2020
          Replying to @819studio @GidMK

          You’re right and they are largely children. We do hear about it but not nearly at the intensity we should. Why? We’ve become acclimated? They are not from the West’s tribe? They are typically non-whites?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Frank Taeger‏ @Shiyanying 17 Jun 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          And without countermeasures... The countermeasures taken worldwide are without precedent...

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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