The new piece is here: https://forecasters.org/blog/2020/06/14/forecasting-for-covid-19-has-failed/ … The above is a direct quotation
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Lol holy shit the chutzpah is overwhelming
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Qnd never mind the wildly optimistic forecasts that have been cherry-picked and flaunted by politicians to justify criminal inaction.
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And we are to trust vastly more complex climate models?
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Off topic, but climate change predictions are based on more than just models; lots of corroborating evidence from other scientific disciplines
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Debate with Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Good reads. https://twitter.com/pierrepinson/status/1272201650019721216?s=21 …https://twitter.com/pierrepinson/status/1272201650019721216 …
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He has 2.5% - 4.2% shame (with a confidence interval that includes zero).
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Underrated tweet
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