This is a common error, and I explain more fully in this linked thread, but briefly you can't directly compare the modelled IFR of influenza to the crude calculation for COVID-19 If you make an apples/apples comparison, COVID is MUCH worsehttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1270490521291485185?s=20 …
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The piece continues inaccurately, with this statement The paper by Ioannidis was not a meta-analysis. There was no attempt to statistically aggregate estimates. By most definitions, it was also not a systematic review Technically, it was a narrative/literature reviewpic.twitter.com/rhYg6hpSjt
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The authors also say that the Santa Clara study was "singled out" for "pointed attacks", without noting that the CDC estimate quoted DIRECTLY ABOVE has been similarly criticized many times That's...a bit misleading imo
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And then this paragraph, which alludes to issues with specificity without really understanding them Yes, low-prevalence areas can be an issue, but not all seroprevalence surveys have been done in low-prevalence areas!pic.twitter.com/q5Uxdj9sEU
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For example, the New York City seroprevalence is estimated at 22.7% Bergamo is >50% With these numbers, the IFR is 0.5-1%, and with no substantial issues in terms of specificity
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Now, that leads us to the final paragraphs This one in particular has...issuespic.twitter.com/8L2gmCPCWR
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Firstly, this is all posed as some vague academic dispute IT IS NOTHING OF THE SORT At this moment in time, academics with huge influence can quite literally decide whether millions of people live or die
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I've been told by a number of sources that the Santa Clara study DIRECTLY impacted policy decisions in several countries That's not just an academic question
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Presenting this whole debacle as "just asking questions" or as some kind of vague academic dispute about correctness is, imo, really missing the point
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And the piece ends with this, which is, uh, an odd thing to say How in the world can you describe what is happening as 'silencing'???pic.twitter.com/gRAicWKAEB
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Ioannidis has, by my count, appeared on more than a dozen national US TV shows, had a Youtube video with millions of hits, has been in print another dozen times, and has written two lengthy editorials If that's silencing, sign me up
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Overall, I think the piece is very misleading, and as I've pointed out factually incorrect in several aspects
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