1 - NYC We already had the basic data, but the testing implies 22.7% infected from tests between 19/04-28/04. Taking the 28/04 date to crudely account for right-censoring, this gives an IFR: 17682/1906573 = ~0.92%
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Another new estimate - the authors of the Geneva seroprevalence study have age-corrected their data and come to an IFR of 0.64%https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.10.20127423v1 …
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Second stage of Indiana serology testing has come back, implying 1.5% of the population had been infected (and 0.6% was currently infected) with COVID-19 by 8th June That's 2.1% of 6,732,000 people, or 141,000 infectionspic.twitter.com/Ejq4MmA7Kf
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With 2,413 deaths in Indiana by 13th of June, this implies an infection-fatality rate of 2413/141000 = 1.7% (VERY high)




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