More estimates of the IFR of COVID-19 out recently Might start a thread collating the new ones I see
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This is using death data from the 30th of April to again crudely account for right-censoring
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Another new estimate - the authors of the Geneva seroprevalence study have age-corrected their data and come to an IFR of 0.64%https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.10.20127423v1 …
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Second stage of Indiana serology testing has come back, implying 1.5% of the population had been infected (and 0.6% was currently infected) with COVID-19 by 8th June That's 2.1% of 6,732,000 people, or 141,000 infectionspic.twitter.com/Ejq4MmA7Kf
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With 2,413 deaths in Indiana by 13th of June, this implies an infection-fatality rate of 2413/141000 = 1.7% (VERY high)




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Thanks for your great job! Just a quick note, Belgium might (emphasis on "might") be overcounting deaths, wrt other countries (*or*, other countries might be undercounting deaths!) according to Belgian virologist & govt spokesman https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-52491210 … it's interesting that 1/2
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even with that caveat, their IFR still roughly lands in the 0.5-1% ballpark (ofc on the right hand side). 2/2
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