Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookies Use. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • About

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

Tweets

Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

Tweets

  • © 2021 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    1. This Tweet is unavailable.
    2. This Tweet is unavailable.
    3. This Tweet is unavailable.
    4. This Tweet is unavailable.
    5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 6 Jun 2020
      Replying to @Doryphore6 @MagnetsOh and

      Again, that list is wildly disingenuous. Several acknowledged (by the authors themselves!) overestimates, several that are higher than 0.26%, two that are very trivially explained by age differences, etc. Slovenia is the one reliable estimate you've got there

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 6 Jun 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @Doryphore6 and

      And as a lower bound, as I've mentioned, it's probably a bit of an underestimate. So while 0.26% might not be entirely impossible, there's no doubt (especially given the population demographics) that it's an outlier

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 6 Jun 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @Doryphore6 and

      (Oh, sorry, forgot to mention that two of those examples - CEBM and CDC - are "expert opinion" and have been widely questioned. CEBM has also now increased their estimate three times as new evidence emerges)

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. This Tweet is unavailable.
    9. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 6 Jun 2020
      Replying to @Doryphore6 @MagnetsOh and

      Lol, you can check the cached version if you want. It says right at the top when it was last updated

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. This Tweet is unavailable.
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 6 Jun 2020
      Replying to @Doryphore6 @MagnetsOh and

      They have. The initial posited IFR was 0.1-0.2% (back in March). It's been updated several times since then, as new evidence from seroprevalence studies have come out.

      6:52 PM - 6 Jun 2020
      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 6 Jun 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @Doryphore6 and

          Anyway, this is getting tedious. The most likely IFR is 0.5-1% for most areas - we will certainly see some outliers in both directions, but the weight of evidence is fairly heavy that that is the most plausible range

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Daniel Glez-Peña‏ @lipido 8 Jun 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @Doryphore6 and

          Spain, one of the biggest serosurveys gave IFR around 1%, with only Covid19 confirmed deaths (no suspected). Maybe higher.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies

      Loading seems to be taking a while.

      Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

        Promoted Tweet

        false

        • © 2021 Twitter
        • About
        • Help Center
        • Terms
        • Privacy policy
        • Cookies
        • Ads info