They were, well, only models.
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All models are wrong, some are useful?
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First para of the blog, dammit!
End of conversation
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Excellent
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The headline is misleading, many people only read headlines, and wont even get to your "useful" qualifier, so you've sent the wrong message (the article is broadly ok). Many model *simulations* were for scenarios that didn't happen and helped make good decisions! 1/2
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Epidemiologists need to be much more careful about language: most epidemiological models are used for *projections*, not *predictions*. With more precision you can start to talk about projected scenarios not happening because X, instead of "model is wrong" (tho some are) 2/2.
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Thanks for this. Been one of the most frustrating chants from those who are ticked off with being restricted but yet have not actually read the modelling. And, as you say, they seem to be predominantly tech bros and financial advisors.
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