What's the manufacturer's reported specificity? Given the FDA's value, and a 4.43% positive rate in the state, the true range corrected for sens/spec would be somewhere between 1-5%, with a point-estimate around 3%
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I agree that there are lower estimates - in large part, this is likely age-related (I.e. Singapore). But in this case, for Florida, I think we can say with some certainty that an IFR of 0.26% would be an underestimate
End of conversation
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Thank you for your continued courteous and patient responses. I am impressed
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Always. The thing I am most concerned about with the IFR estimate is being wrong
End of conversation
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