What's the manufacturer's reported specificity? Given the FDA's value, and a 4.43% positive rate in the state, the true range corrected for sens/spec would be somewhere between 1-5%, with a point-estimate around 3%
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Replying to @GidMK @Doryphore6 and
Sensitivity is largely unimportant with a low population prevalence. In this context, with a sensitivity of >90%, we'd expect ~10 false negatives per 1,000 tests. Conversely, with a specificity of 96%, we'd expect ~35 false positives per 1,000 tests
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Replying to @Doryphore6 @MagnetsOh and
So given that, the low proportion positive, and the bias in testing, the point estimate for prevalence is probably a significant overestimate and therefore the IFR is likely quite a bit higher in Florida
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While there's not much information I could find online, the governor said that they were targeting high-risk groups like HC workers and first responders - selection bias
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