What's the manufacturer's reported specificity? Given the FDA's value, and a 4.43% positive rate in the state, the true range corrected for sens/spec would be somewhere between 1-5%, with a point-estimate around 3%
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They're using the Cellex test tho right? If so, FDA reported specificity is 96%
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So given that, the low proportion positive, and the bias in testing, the point estimate for prevalence is probably a significant overestimate and therefore the IFR is likely quite a bit higher in Florida
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