Great article. One point to add: if good models are used by decision makers to avoid the predicted outcome, then we actually want them to be wrong! This seems to be an issue in Aus now with some questioning whether restrictions were overboard because look, everything's fine now!
New blog out - All Coronavirus Models Were Wrong. What happens next?https://link.medium.com/xdwL9ZM216
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That's a really good point, I should include that. Thanks!
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Hey, are you sure about that provocative title?

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I like your stuff, but this is too high level. Needs some concrete examples of useful things you gleaned from actual models. I suppose you could put in negative examples from bad models too, but there are just so many and the commentary may devolve into simple schadenfreude.
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