The figure that most people use when talking about the death rate of influenza is 0.1-0.2% (i.e. 1 to 2 deaths per 1,000 cases of flu) They then say that the lower estimates of COVID-19 fatality rate are similar, so it's comparable But they really aren't
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So even this slightly better comparison, that says COVID-19 is about 100x deadlier than the flu, is using different numerators (although the same denominator) and thus may underestimate the risk
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To take a leaf out of
@d_spiegel's book, this means that you have a similar risk of death from a single COVID-19 infection to 50-100 influenza infections over the course of one yearShow this thread
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Wasn't H1N1 of 2009 less deadly than regular influenza we normally get? I don't know how one would take asymptomatic and apply it to CDC numbers for the flu as I don't know which asymptomatic numbers to take from here: https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/22/6/15-1080_article …
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I was guessing 19% asymptomatic influenza cases per year and multiplying the number of symptomatic cases per the CDC by 1.19 to get the IFR. But would love an experts number on influenza IFR. I think I found 19% from the CDC as well. Just trying to learn
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