Lots of people are still comparing the COVID-19 death rate with influenza ("it's only as deadly as the flu!") This is very misleading If you compare apples to apples, COVID-19 is MUCH deadlier than the flu
-
-
It's also worth noting in this thread that even using the influenza IFR is somewhat misleading, because these IFRs are calculated differently
Show this thread -
The influenza IFR is generally calculated using modelled EXCESS mortality attributable to influenza COVID-19 IFR is instead being calculated by simply dividing confirmed deaths by inferred cases
Show this thread -
So even this slightly better comparison, that says COVID-19 is about 100x deadlier than the flu, is using different numerators (although the same denominator) and thus may underestimate the risk
Show this thread -
To take a leaf out of
@d_spiegel's book, this means that you have a similar risk of death from a single COVID-19 infection to 50-100 influenza infections over the course of one yearShow this thread
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
Not only vastly deadlier, but also vastly more transmissible, correct? So far more people will get it in an unconstrained scenario, and each be vastly more likely die than if they had flu, making for many many many times more deaths.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.