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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 27 May 2020

      NEW TODAY @LeaMerone and I have updated our systematic review/meta-analysis of the infection-fatality rates of COVID-19 New point-estimate is 0.64% (0.5-0.78%)http://medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.03.20089854v3 …

      8 replies 23 retweets 50 likes
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    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 27 May 2020

      Some notes: we have tried to respond to every criticism raised so far, but it's challenging to get to everything. It will be updated again!

      1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
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    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 27 May 2020

      I think it's also VERY important to recognize that this point estimate is really just a "best guess" What we're seeing is not unexpected DIFFERENT PLACES HAVE DIFFERENT IFRs

      1 reply 1 retweet 12 likes
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    4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 27 May 2020

      So, for example, Spain's very large serology study showed an IFR of 1-1.3% The Czech Republic had an impressive study that found closer to 0.6% In Wuhan, it appears to have been 0.35% THESE ARE NOT CONTRADICTIONS

      1 reply 5 retweets 14 likes
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    5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 27 May 2020

      Indeed, we argue that IFR is likely to vary by demographics and features of the healthcare system

      1 reply 1 retweet 10 likes
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    6. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 27 May 2020

      This being said, if you are going to use a single number (because everyone loves single numbers) the point-estimate is probably a reasonable one to use

      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
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    7. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 27 May 2020

      There are some big caveats to the new estimate - in particular some thorny included studies that we discuss - but I think it's a fairly reasonable proportion

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
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      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 27 May 2020

      Also, a major criticism has been that we didn't include serology studies No longer! The updated review includes 12 of the published serology estimates, and has a meta-analysis of just these studies as wellpic.twitter.com/qr95xmlPFv

      2:31 PM - 27 May 2020
      • 1 Retweet
      • 11 Likes
      • iPhone13 Pro Max #CCPliedMillionsDied Richard EB Dr Vyom Sharma (ethnic mum) Dr Naomi Harvey (PhD not MD) #GetVaccinated Di Williams 💙 #CovidIsAirborne Harry Hong 💧 Ian "Department of Diseasology" 🍩 Musgrave Russ Conser Bryan P. White, MS, MPH
      0 replies 1 retweet 11 likes

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