Sorry, typo, should read 1.2%
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It's the Imperial model team, the IFR is a quasi-fixed assumption (normally distributed with SD = 0.1* mean) given population structure, with age-specific IFR per the rest of their work (same as Verity et al). They are inferring Rt.
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Reading the paper, not clear at all how they came up with those IFR's by region? They're just presented as #'s in the table without even description. Do they have good random serology studies in each region to support those #'s?
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Approx 1/3 of PCR cases remain hospitalized. Do authors account for censoring?
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