Ok, another COVID-19 IFR estimate. This time from a Danish seroprevalence with random sampling, indicating 0.5-1.8% infected in early May This puts the IFR in Denmark somewhere between 0.48-1.7(!)%
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I am not sure that right sensoring is uniformly an issue that underestimates deaths. Here's a sensitivity analysis I did on Geneva moving the numerator (deaths) back and forth. Intuitively should estimated IFR drop over the course of three weeks? Last estimate is pretty robust.pic.twitter.com/j3RSsLyfNr
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Here is Denmark, opposite pattern. Could be assay dependent. And also whether you meassure IgG or IgG and IgM. Geneva is the former, DK the latter.pic.twitter.com/RPbEqOxZzn
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