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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 21 May 2020

      Health Nerd Retweeted Health Nerd

      I'd actually really love any answers here - has anyone investigated this question? Lots of people making blanket assumptions with no evidence, but I've yet to see an actual analysis @Adam_Creightonhttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1263201123424366592 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Health NerdVerified account @GidMK
      Replying to @Adam_Creighton @TobyMPhillips
      Where's the evidence that lockdowns caused greater economic damage?
      16 replies 9 retweets 31 likes
    2. Adam Creighton‏Verified account @Adam_Creighton 21 May 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      Surely can't really know the answer for a year or so. But the null hypothesis that lockdowns aren't helpful certainly hasn't been rejected. (burden of proof should be on the jailer not the jailed?)

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 21 May 2020
      Replying to @Adam_Creighton

      Perhaps, but the null hypothesis - that the marginal impact of lockdowns on the economy is no bigger than that we would experience anyway - is similarly not rejected. If both sides of the equation are unknown, it makes no sense to claim one way or the other

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Adam Creighton‏Verified account @Adam_Creighton 21 May 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      Surely by logic it must be bigger? Some would choose to self isolate and some wouldn't.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 21 May 2020
      Replying to @Adam_Creighton

      Perhaps, but as I'm sure you know economies are complex things. Risk has a huge impact (my friends in the construction industry, for example, report that long-term projects were down enormously long before lockdowns) and so do deaths

      3:44 PM - 21 May 2020
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 21 May 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @Adam_Creighton

          Sweden, which took a much looser stance on government regulation, is experiencing a similar economic downturn to its neighbours, which did not. I think the economic impact is likely to be far more complex than lockdowns = bad

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Adam Creighton‏Verified account @Adam_Creighton 21 May 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          Of course it would. It's a small open economy. That doesn't show total lockdowns are the right decision in general. Moreover, GDP puts zero value on freedom of movement and choice.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies

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