I'd actually really love any answers here - has anyone investigated this question? Lots of people making blanket assumptions with no evidence, but I've yet to see an actual analysis @Adam_Creightonhttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1263201123424366592 …
Perhaps, but the null hypothesis - that the marginal impact of lockdowns on the economy is no bigger than that we would experience anyway - is similarly not rejected. If both sides of the equation are unknown, it makes no sense to claim one way or the other
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Surely by logic it must be bigger? Some would choose to self isolate and some wouldn't.
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Perhaps, but as I'm sure you know economies are complex things. Risk has a huge impact (my friends in the construction industry, for example, report that long-term projects were down enormously long before lockdowns) and so do deaths
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