Today, this new preprint from John Ioannidis (of "Most Published Research Findings Are False" fame) went online Already up to Altmetric of 541 Let's do a rapid peer-review on twitter 1/npic.twitter.com/aNth3I59Xa
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So, if the IFR for the general population is 0.7% and 2.4% of deaths are people under 40. If you assume half the population is under 40, then the IFR for people under 40 is about 0.033% or 3 out of 10,000.
Something like that yes. I think the best estimate for IFR in under-70s comes from the Denmark blood donors study which estimated it at ~8 per 10,000
And it’s about 0.07% for people under 50. This seems like useful information to me. About 75% of deaths are over 65, and 13% of the populations is over 65 that gives an IFR of 4%! That is insane. And I’m getting 12% for people over 80.
Why aren’t we testing constantly in nursing homes! That the most important. Thing we can do!
The nursing home issue is, to me, relatively simple - we have systematically undervalued aged care for decades, and now there's a time of crisis we simply can't improve what is often a dodgy for-profit sector in time to make a difference
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