(This is a BIG if, we don't have enough data on the study to know if this is a reasonable estimate or even what population it covers)
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Similar to NYC...but lower deaths.
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I’m still trying to confirm this. It’s the highest I’ve seen (even Stockholm is much lower). Do you recall anything higher? If correct it speaks volumes about the effectiveness of interventions here
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NYC is estimated at ~21% but I think that's the only one higher off the top of my head. Madrid region was just over 10%, Czech Republic and Slovenia much lower, and nowhere in the states aside from NYC has been above 5% I think
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Depends what area they are counting as London?
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Good point. Without more info, hard to know exactly
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Very true. I suspect the IFRs calculated using official death tolls will generally be an underestimate - in some ways this is the biggest weakness of seroprevalence studies that do not use a model to estimate IFR
End of conversation
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Nobody has seen the data or study protocol, as far as I know. This may not be an unbiased, random sample
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What is their cross-reactivity rate from other human coronaviruses, and other "false positive" rate? I really doubt the Milan 4% seropositive blood donor rate from before their first diagnosed case.
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