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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 19 May 2020

      Today, this new preprint from John Ioannidis (of "Most Published Research Findings Are False" fame) went online Already up to Altmetric of 541 Let's do a rapid peer-review on twitter 1/npic.twitter.com/aNth3I59Xa

      78 replies 935 retweets 2,292 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Joshua Kessler‏ @JoshuaKessler1 20 May 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @StuartJRitchie

      You guys love to nitpick the hell out of these things and totally miss the forest for the trees. A comprehensive overview of serology testing is exactly what we have needed. It doesn’t need to be perfect because what we currently have is basically nothing

      5 replies 1 retweet 3 likes
    3. Dominique Heinke is off bird watching or something‏ @Epi_D_Nique 20 May 2020
      Replying to @JoshuaKessler1 @GidMK @StuartJRitchie

      It’s not nitpicking but a valid scientific critique. Heavily biased estimates can be worse than none at all - especially when the bias seems to be intentionally in the direction that the author wants.

      5 replies 1 retweet 29 likes
    4. Joshua Kessler‏ @JoshuaKessler1 21 May 2020
      Replying to @Epi_D_Nique @GidMK @StuartJRitchie

      I don’t think the isolation nerd blogger South Wales is better at this than the Stanford epidemiology team. This guy is making is own assumptions and I think he is overestimating right censoring and many of his critiques are either overestimated or irrelevant

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 21 May 2020
      Replying to @JoshuaKessler1 @Epi_D_Nique @StuartJRitchie

      Which critique specifically? And why?

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Joshua Kessler‏ @JoshuaKessler1 21 May 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @Epi_D_Nique @StuartJRitchie

      I think you may have over estimated right-censoring, and you dismissed the 20% adjustment he made for antibodies tested. I was a solid critique on the whole though, I spoke too quickly because of the media pile on over Ioannidis.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 21 May 2020
      Replying to @JoshuaKessler1 @Epi_D_Nique @StuartJRitchie

      Well, Ioannidis agreed with me that some adjustment for right-censoring was required, he just didn't do it when studies had themselves calculated an IFR - but many of the studies didn't! Complex. The 20% adjustment is far too crude, depending on when people are

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    8. Joshua Kessler‏ @JoshuaKessler1 21 May 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @Epi_D_Nique @StuartJRitchie

      Would it be possible for your get the data to do an age dependent IFR study. I think that would be much more useful to the public, because the IFR is much higher for people over 60 and much lower for people under 40. it would be useful to see how much obesity affects the IFR to

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 21 May 2020
      Replying to @JoshuaKessler1 @Epi_D_Nique @StuartJRitchie

      We tried, but there are few/no papers stratifying IFR by age at the moment. The impact of obesity is quite minor based on most evidence btw, the 17.4 million person UK study found that being a man was riskier than having a BMI>30

      1:59 PM - 21 May 2020
      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. Joshua Kessler‏ @JoshuaKessler1 21 May 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @Epi_D_Nique @StuartJRitchie

          Interesting

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Kyle Novak‏ @Kyle_nfish 22 May 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @JoshuaKessler1 and

          How about this one? https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.15.20067074v3 …

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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