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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 21 May 2020

    Health Nerd Retweeted Health Nerd

    I'd actually really love any answers here - has anyone investigated this question? Lots of people making blanket assumptions with no evidence, but I've yet to see an actual analysis @Adam_Creightonhttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1263201123424366592 …

    Health Nerd added,

    Health NerdVerified account @GidMK
    Replying to @Adam_Creighton @TobyMPhillips
    Where's the evidence that lockdowns caused greater economic damage?
    4:04 AM - 21 May 2020
    • 9 Retweets
    • 31 Likes
    • Corry Curtis Arch-Physicist 😷 #ZeroCovid FVM Dr. Julii Brainard 🌏💧Dr Erica McIntyre Rei Young transplantrockstar Mario Tristan Paul Lomax
    16 replies 9 retweets 31 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Patrick Marcinek‏ @scientist_iam 21 May 2020
        Replying to @GidMK @Adam_Creighton

        I fear you can't make any objective analyses in weighing lockdown vs. economic harm, because you don't really have controls. What IS indisputable, though, is that lockdowns saved lives.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Tarek S Arab‏ @DrTarekArab 21 May 2020
        Replying to @scientist_iam @GidMK @Adam_Creighton

        No such thing as ‘indisputable’ in science and 4 papers demonstrate that it didn’t

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Show replies
      1.  ☠‏ @ampmob 21 May 2020
        Replying to @GidMK @Adam_Creighton

        Funerals are good for GDP - all those coffins and all those brass handles gotta come from somewhere.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Ritwik Priya‏ @ritwik_priya 21 May 2020
        Replying to @GidMK @Adam_Creighton

        Given the economic data coming out everywhere, the structure of the argument is very simply - decline in travel, leisure, hospitality, elective healthcare, construction etc. drive the carnage. To the extent, these are autonomous behavioural adjustments, they would've reduced...

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Ritwik Priya‏ @ritwik_priya 21 May 2020
        Replying to @ritwik_priya @GidMK @Adam_Creighton

        ..Rt as well, to the extent Rt is reducing only because these are mandated from top down, the mandated lockdown is causing a significant part of the damage. Whether effect on Rt is asymmetric vs economic impact is a much tougher question, and will only be answered in retrospect.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. Kiwiana‏ @Kiwiana13C 21 May 2020
        Replying to @GidMK @Adam_Creighton

        Waving hi from Nz where we had a strict lockdown and only 21 deaths, new cases at zero. Economy is reopening in stages. Biggest hit is tourism and that’s going to need the world to catch up with us.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Slow Spike-Wave  🧠 ⚡ ✊🏻‏ @phluaria 21 May 2020
        Replying to @GidMK @Adam_Creighton

        Isn't the valid question: what are the est. excess deaths from a recession v those from pandemic PLUS what excess economic slowing is due to lockdown v from ppl self-isolating due to pandemic?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Gordon‏ @Gordon00810226 21 May 2020
        Replying to @phluaria @GidMK @Adam_Creighton

        The evidence available is from the 1918 flu which strongly suggests that preventative measures result in lower mortality and lower economic damage. Places that did nothing or waited too long suffered more deaths and worse economic damage

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Brian Keats‏ @b_keats 21 May 2020
        Replying to @GidMK @Adam_Creighton

        The question inherently assumes that the lock down is causing the economic damage, not the virus itself. People were locking themselves down before governments intervened. Some fraction of any economic damage was inevitable.

        1 reply 1 retweet 4 likes
      3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 21 May 2020
        Replying to @b_keats @Adam_Creighton

        Precisely

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. End of conversation

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