Thought this would be interesting - meta-analysis of serology vs non-serology estimates of IFR, updated today to include all population seroprevalence estimates I'll be updating the preprint again on the weekendpic.twitter.com/FRqvkK1D58
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Am I right that the non-sero studies follow individuals over time while the sero studies use official confirmed death counts to determine mortality? Undercounting in confirmed deaths could help explain this.
I don’t get this: Diamond Princess is 14/712=2.0 percent. Should I trust the model forecast or actual results?
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