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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 18 May 2020

    There's some evidence suggesting that #COVID19 was circulating in some countries as early as December last year One interesting implication of this is that it suggests travel bans were very much ineffective (the horse was long gone)pic.twitter.com/jY8yVAQgrc

    10:10 PM - 18 May 2020
    • 10 Retweets
    • 28 Likes
    • Aaron Brown PD Secure Doors Carmina Santi S. Ontañón transplantrockstar ethoonnu Shon 🔬🧬🧪 Amy Brazill
    3 replies 10 retweets 28 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 18 May 2020

        This is, interestingly, almost exactly what evidence from the @WHO suggested based on previous pandemics and was one of the driving reasons behind the recommendations about travel bans in the first place https://www.who.int/bulletin/volumes/92/12/14-135590/en/ …pic.twitter.com/OylA0iTNHz

        2 replies 8 retweets 8 likes
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      3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 18 May 2020

        Note: the first tweet should probably read "IN SOME CASES" travel bans were totally ineffective - generalizing in this context is ignoring important nuance

        1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
        Show this thread
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Daniel Reeders  🏳️‍⚧️‏ @engagedpractx 18 May 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        I mean, Wuhan is a city of 11m people and a major industrial centre, so of course there was going to be some travel-based transmission. But I don't know if that means travel bans are very much ineffective? They worked pretty well for countries that did them early.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 18 May 2020
        Replying to @engagedpractx

        Did they? Italy was the first to really close borders, along with some other really hard-hit areas. If the virus was already circulating in Europe in late December, it would explain why the bans from European countries didn't do all that much

        2 replies 1 retweet 3 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. Sir John Salmond‏ @johnsalmond 19 May 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        Who'd a thunk: working out what happened in the origins of the pandemic is complicated, and what seems obvious can be misleading. Still, everyone give us your verdicts

        0 replies 1 retweet 0 likes
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