1. An odd research study out of U. Manchester today uses an indirect and, frankly, bizarre method to estimate the incidence in the UK as being vastly higher than that inferred using more direct approaches. https://twitter.com/DrAdrianHeald/status/1260951024954638337 …
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Oh, also noticed - the extrapolation to "immunity" is clearly wrong. Even using their calculation and the rubbish in this paper, R(ADIR) = 0 has no bearing on immunity per se, simply on transmission. Could be due to social distancing!
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Any authors on your IFR preprint below have a PhD? If not, consider disclosing that 2 rogue grad students are publishing preprints. Highly sketchy. Please correct me if I am wrong about that and provide a list of your current/previous PhD advisors. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.03.20089854v1 …
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