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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
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@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Miguel Hernán‏Verified account @_MiguelHernan 13 May 2020

      Miguel Hernán Retweeted La Moncloa

      BREAKING NEWS: Preliminary results of Spain's seroprevalence study #ENECOVID. >60,000 participants Antibodies for #SARSCoV2: 5% of Spanish population 11% in region with highest incidence (Madrid) So far from herd immunity in country with 2nd largest number of cases after U.S.https://twitter.com/desdelamoncloa/status/1260612372877754368 …

      Miguel Hernán added,

      La MoncloaVerified account @desdelamoncloa
      🔴EN DIRECTO Rueda de prensa del ministro de @sanidadgob, Salvador Illa, y el ministro de @CienciaGob, Pedro Duque, sobre la primera fase del Estudio Nacional Sero-Epidemiológico del #COVID19. #EsteVirusLoParamosUnidos https://twitter.com/i/broadcasts/1lPJqVmqqXbxb …
      123 replies 1,767 retweets 2,609 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Miguel Hernán‏Verified account @_MiguelHernan 13 May 2020

      Quick and dirty calculation of mortality risk: 27,100 #COVID19 deaths divided by a preliminary estimate of 2.35M with IgG antibodies in early May (5% of a population of 47M) = 1.2% A ballpark estimate that may change after statistical adjustments and validation studies.

      53 replies 182 retweets 440 likes
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      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 13 May 2020
      Replying to @_MiguelHernan

      Would be good to include this in our meta-analysis of IFR estimates. Any published data yet?

      2:41 PM - 13 May 2020
      • 1 Like
      • Jesús Rosino
      3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        1. Marc Läderach‏ @laederach_m 13 May 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @_MiguelHernan

          https://www.lamoncloa.gob.es/serviciosdeprensa/notasprensa/sanidad14/Documents/2020/130520-ENE-COVID_Informe1.pdf … It is in Spanish.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        2. Starving Engineer‏ @edw_tweet 13 May 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @_MiguelHernan

          Starving Engineer Retweeted Adam Kucharski

          Have you included Geneva (CH) in your update? (3 evaluations at 3 different times, more to come later)https://mobile.twitter.com/AdamJKucharski/status/1258351580300095488 …

          Starving Engineer added,

          Adam KucharskiVerified account @AdamJKucharski
          New seroprevalence data from Geneva, estimating about 10 infections for every COVID-19 confirmed case. Overall this is consistent with our (and other groups) current rough estimates for the extent of under-reporting in Europe. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.02.20088898v1 … pic.twitter.com/YVTri9d9hU
          Show this thread
          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 13 May 2020
          Replying to @edw_tweet @_MiguelHernan

          Nope, thanks for that. Although IFR isn't estimated there, looks like ~.5% which you'd expect to rise slightly if accounting for right-censoring

          3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Beatriz Perez-Gomez‏ @BeatrizPerezGom 15 May 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @_MiguelHernan

          https://portalcne.isciii.es/enecovid19/indexev.html …

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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