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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 May 2020
      Replying to @LeaMerone @QqTesla @andrewbostom

      Interesting. Some issues, for example the Icelandic continuous testing pretty explicitly pointed out that their estimate was not an IFR (PCR testing obvs only catches current infections). Also would be useful to put into a MA model rather than just a median

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 May 2020
      Replying to @QqTesla @LeaMerone @andrewbostom

      Actually, that's not true. Many of those studies are published in news reports in foreign languages. Some of them have no information on the denominator, making it hard to meta-analyze, and some of them have only been published since the beginning of May

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 May 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @QqTesla and

      The benefit of a preprint however - we can update and see if there are any more studies that met our criteria prior to submission

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. This Tweet is unavailable.
    6. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 May 2020
      Replying to @QqTesla @LeaMerone @andrewbostom

      I'm pretty sure some of the numbers are also just wrong? Like the IFR of pregnant women from NYC is 0.53% - that study didn't include anyone who died, and was not a population estimate anyway. Can't really include it in an estimate of IFR. At least 2 more similar issues

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 May 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @QqTesla and

      And including a sample of just high school students? Several of just blood donors? Makes no sense for an overall IFR estimate

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. This Tweet is unavailable.
    9. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 May 2020
      Replying to @QqTesla @LeaMerone @andrewbostom

      Nope, it's because the fatality rate will be much lower. We only included population estimates for this reason - lumping them all in together will lower your IFR significantly

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. This Tweet is unavailable.
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 8 May 2020
      Replying to @QqTesla @LeaMerone @andrewbostom

      Nope they really aren't. Can't just extrapolate like that, and the adjustment in the table is pretty opaque - I have a hard time understanding how any of this would make sense together

      6:36 PM - 8 May 2020
      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes

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