It's startling to watch people argue that #COVID19 is similar to influenza in terms of death rate. Using NYC as a strict lower bound:
13,536 confirmed COVID deaths
5,373 suspected COVID deaths
8,398,748 people TOTAL
= 0.16-0.23% of the TOTAL population dead
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For this to be similar to the flu (~0.1% IFR), EVERYONE in New York would've had to be infected 2-3 weeks ago
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If we use a more reasonable estimate - say, the serology study from NYC - it would appear somewhere between 0.5-1.2% of people in New York who caught COVID-19 died That is MUCH higher than influenza
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A point that's worth making here is that NYC actually has quite a low median age, which makes these numbers even more worrying
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Replying to @GidMK
Is it possible that IFR could be higher in NYC than in other locations? Some arguments used: higher viral load from tight spaces like subways. Vitamin D insufficiency in northern climates. Worse hospital conditions.
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I would be very surprised if IFR did not differ from place to place. The primary drive will almost certainly be age, then general health (i.e. comorbidities) then probably a long list of other potential factors
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