It's startling to watch people argue that #COVID19 is similar to influenza in terms of death rate. Using NYC as a strict lower bound:
13,536 confirmed COVID deaths
5,373 suspected COVID deaths
8,398,748 people TOTAL
= 0.16-0.23% of the TOTAL population dead
-
-
Also, imagine if that much effort had been put into preventing flu transmission: what would the figures be? After the first case in Japan in January, the popular reaction (not lockdown, just people being a bit more careful) incidentally appears to have killed off the flu season.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Is it possible that IFR could be higher in NYC than in other locations? Some arguments used: higher viral load from tight spaces like subways. Vitamin D insufficiency in northern climates. Worse hospital conditions.
-
I would be very surprised if IFR did not differ from place to place. The primary drive will almost certainly be age, then general health (i.e. comorbidities) then probably a long list of other potential factors
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
Median age doesn't mean anything when you look at the age profiles of the deceased. It wasn't 30 yos. The issue is you can't separate terrible mismanagement of the response from the virus, see sending sick back to nursing homes.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.