What is the 'true' infection-fatality rate of #COVID19?
We don't know. But I spent my weekend doing a systematic review/meta-analysis to get a reasonable estimatehttps://medium.com/@gidmk/what-is-the-infection-fatality-rate-of-covid-19-7f58f7c90410 …
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If you use your methodology looking at seasonal flu, what infection-fatality rate would you generate?
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I should say, *qualitatively*, how do you think your approach would affect the 0.1% flu figure commonly cited? I’ve read that serological surveys indicate the IFR is more like 0.02-0.05%, but studies are limited.
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How much did the studies in question factor in seroprevalence data?
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Totally agree. Congrats and thanks for work. Even so, useful data. To test heterog. , did you use I2 / Q / Tau ?
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Isn't the lack of this data something of a scandal?? This is such basic stuff
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Stratifying by age is vital I think, for comparison between countries with different demographics. I have been thinking about the same, but not sure how to get the numbers.
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Why not publish in a "scientific" journal, e.g. medRxiv or bioRxiv?
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No particular reason. Might do that today
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The Iceland data are useful as they did a lot of testing and have few new cases at this moment. Here: data on the prevalence of Corona: https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2006100 … Here, data on deaths: http://covid.is/data
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At this moment, 10 people have died while there were 1797 cases. Subtracting very new cases and adding undetected cases we may put the total at 2000 -> 0,5%. Assuming some undetected deaths plus future deaths it might go up to 1%.
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