What is the 'true' infection-fatality rate of #COVID19?
We don't know. But I spent my weekend doing a systematic review/meta-analysis to get a reasonable estimatehttps://medium.com/@gidmk/what-is-the-infection-fatality-rate-of-covid-19-7f58f7c90410 …
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And thanks to
@jamesheathers, who suggested this excellent planShow this thread -
Also, worth noting that this isn't a brilliant estimate because there aren't that many studies and they are VERY heterogeneous Ideally I'd like to stratify by age and region, but that's gonna take more data!
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Thanks! Yeh I realized that I misclassified the Bendavid et al study I will update that. I reckon the 1.29 estimate is defensible, maybe I'll include both - one is based on specific data one is a modelled extrapolation. Both useful!
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My number one question is are they all using the correct math? So many Dr's seem to get this wrong.https://twitter.com/TylerWEARSAMASK/status/1255082280831328256?s=20 …
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A brilliant idea. As you update it will you be archiving earlier versions? It will be instructive to see which way things change as more evidence is gathered
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That's an excellent idea
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"I may have made mistakes. I probably have. Point them out and let's work on better estimates together". Wow. Refreshing!!

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The main issue I have is systematic bias. In almost every situation deaths are still occurring, so the result is likely an underestimate.
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