One of the reasons why I was critical of the Santa Clara study but so far have not been of the New York results. This 12x ratio of infections to cases is plausible to me. I’ve been saying 10-20x. In contrast, 50-85x felt way too high to be real.https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1253398329766973441 …
-
-
It'll be interesting to see how it pans out with proper PPV / NPV estimates considered
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
But it is much lower than that for working age people and much higher than that for older folks. Why isn’t anyone acknowledging that seemingly very relevant nuance?
-
Plenty of people are. What is the import of that that you think is being missed? One less-discussed consequence, though, is that overall IFR varies a lot from place to place depending on demographics, even if the IFR as a function of age is constant.
- Show replies
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.