I'm quite confused at people who persist in arguing that #COVID19 has an infection fatality rate similar to that of influenza (~0.1-0.2%)
Currently, 14,800 people in New York have died
That's 0.18% OF THE ENTIRE CITY
Unless 100% are infected, it's not as low as 0.1-0.2%
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Replying to @GidMK
Swiss federal institute and gavekal looking at final death rate of .01 - .07 %.pic.twitter.com/atob7O4Y9k
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Replying to @deekersinnz
Well, guess they were wrong. Even if this is the total death toll for NYC, the figure is more than double their highest estimate
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Replying to @GidMK
Projected global. Nut just nyc. It’s an in depth ongoing report by some smart data and risk guys turning their skills to the problems and how we evaluate strategies in relation to costs of those strategies down the line. They are Trying to be objective.
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Imo just shows how difficult it really is to model these things. Even the best models by really smart people can have flaws that make them inaccurate
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