I'm quite confused at people who persist in arguing that #COVID19 has an infection fatality rate similar to that of influenza (~0.1-0.2%)
Currently, 14,800 people in New York have died
That's 0.18% OF THE ENTIRE CITY
Unless 100% are infected, it's not as low as 0.1-0.2%
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I would say, given our current information, that a realistic lower bound for the infection-fatality rate is 0.3%. This would mean that NYC is nearly at herd immunity level, and in my opinion is somewhat optimistic, but it's certainly possible
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(The caveat here of course being that if death numbers are inaccurate, all of this may be wrong)
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End of conversation
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Yep. Good reasons why a lot of people find statistics and math difficult. Unless they’re on social media

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