Interesting hypotheses about prevalence of COVID-19. My main issue is assumption of homogeneity. Likely could be 10% or more seroprevalence in hard hit areas, but unlikely in others. Strategies will have to adjust accordingly.https://twitter.com/michaelmina_lab/status/1251020261736005639 …
Sounds like some very convenient assumptions. The two studies he's referring to were very selected, biased populations, not even close to a reasonable sample - likely massive overestimates of the true rate of infection
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I agree! (with possible exception of some very hard hit regions)
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Exactly! You'd expect some places in NYC to have higher prevalence with that many deaths, but to extrapolate to the rest of the U.S. is just...bad science
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