You’re ruling out magic fairies?
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Not ruling anything out at this stage, too many unknowns
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Agree with general point but note changes to testing policy. The forecast is, in practice, as much a forecast of testing policy as it is of transmission. Mortality forecasts more interesting.https://mobile.abc.net.au/news/2020-03-18/coronavirus-test-kit-rationing-virologist-warns/12062146?pfmredir=sm …
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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So many untested. Likely higher than even Swan’s # if all were tested
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a) that was true of the number a week ago b) we have the highest rate of testing in the world, so it's not that big of an issue here
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This wasn’t a prediction it was a possible outcome that he then stated he truly hopes is incorrect.
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That's the definition of a prediction lol
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