Some actually quite good modelling work here - an agent-based model using a range of scenarios that predicts that even with current measures we are probably reducing the epidemic peak by a large margin https://twitter.com/liammannix/status/1242936335976939520 …
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But also, complacency will disappear once cases really start to grow. Easy to ignore 1,000 cases in 25 mil, much harder with 50,000
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Are you as desperate for mass serology data as I am? I want to know.
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