Some actually quite good modelling work here - an agent-based model using a range of scenarios that predicts that even with current measures we are probably reducing the epidemic peak by a large margin https://twitter.com/liammannix/status/1242936335976939520 …
-
This Tweet is unavailable.Show this thread
-
The only issue I think is that the basic model excluded case isolation - people staying home when they're sick - but generally this has been a feature since the start of the epidemic in Australia. I'm not sure I agree that you can model anything without taking this into account
2 replies 0 retweets 4 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @drvyom
Nah the WA one. The Usyd one I haven't actually read in detail, but the WA one I found on medrxivhttps://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.20.20040055v1 …
0 replies
0 retweets
1 like
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.