Some actually quite good modelling work here - an agent-based model using a range of scenarios that predicts that even with current measures we are probably reducing the epidemic peak by a large margin https://twitter.com/liammannix/status/1242936335976939520 …
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By 'basic model' do you mean the Usyd one?
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Nah the WA one. The Usyd one I haven't actually read in detail, but the WA one I found on medrxivhttps://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.20.20040055v1 …
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How do we factor in increased complacency with time though? People are people.
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That's where the government has to come in to the picture I think
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