'Whenever you read a model, the most important thing to look at is not the actual maths behind the graphs - it’s the numbers that have been plugged into the model from the start.'https://medium.com/@gidmk/coronavirus-hasnt-infected-more-than-half-of-the-united-kingdom-50e4fba32552 …
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I see how "confirmed cases" is dependent on testing strategy. UK are only testing hospitalised cases so the tiny iceberg tip. Surely deaths, assuming you're catching all the CV ones!!!, is more solid? Particularly if you have decent look back using fuller pop tests elsewhere?
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Increase or otherwise of death rate can give us useful evidence on the progress of the pandemic but without other data it tells us nothing about the overall level of infection or
End of conversation
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