And I understand your point, but the data is clear that at the moment there’s less deaths and less severe illness. As I stress, that situation may change and change rapidly. We need to move now on instituting wider community testing to ensure other potential cases are identified
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Replying to @MJBiercuk @BenjaminSara and
But Michael with respect you just extrapolated a CFR from even less numbers. People are making the comparison based on #’s that we’re heading like Italy. While on a similar trajectory re #’s we haven’t seen the same CFR at the moment as other countries did at same point.
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Replying to @MJBiercuk @BenjaminSara and
Nothing in my comments indicate that we can be complacent. Nothing. And no, when I’m looking at the data I’m looking not just at 8/112. It is looking across the board at the number of int travellers, close contacts, etc. the level of severe illness reported & deaths.
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Replying to @MJBiercuk @BenjaminSara and
It is not an extrapolation but an observation. My comments are not predictive but based on what we have observed to date. It is not cause for complacency, anything but. We need to use this time to get our ICU capacity scaled up, more HCW unskilled etc.
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Replying to @MJBiercuk @adamkams and
Is it? It certainly doesn't seem to be from the quote and the tweet above. Are there other quotes with different messaging?
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Replying to @GidMK @MJBiercuk and
I suggest you read the article in full. Here’s the link:https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/the-covid-19-storm-will-soon-hit-australia-20200324-p54dcs …
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Your words seem eminently reasonable in my opinion. There was a JAMA article recently that posited that CFRs are largely a function of testing, which I think is almost certainly true - it depends on our denominator!
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