Wow. Fascinating model suggests that if we have overestimated IFR/CFR then a lot of people could already have had COVID and have positive Ab testing. This needs confirmation/refutation ASAP!https://twitter.com/HelenBranswell/status/1242512975107371013 …
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Based on countries with much better testing data, such as SK and Australia, I think it's extremely unlikely that large proportions of the population have already been infected in any country
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I'm actually not far off from your position. You are probably right, but we should exclude this alternative possibility too.
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