Honestly, as an epidemiologist I think this isn't the best idea
Simple reason - there is no one #coronavirus curve
It's MUCH more complicated than thathttps://twitter.com/TheLyonsDen/status/1242079293892513792 …
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Yes it’s not like govs would have just one model or graph they’d be working off right? There’d be dozens and new ones all the time?
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Yep. I'd guess there's a whole team of people making a new model every day and for every scenario
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Is it possible to model how the current strategy utilised by the government anticipates/projects when the exponential trend become less steep/ moves toward horizontal? Or is that extrapolating outside data set & prone to large error?
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It's also difficult to translate the delay between action and response. This two week incubation is torture.
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Might worse case help people understand the need to stay home? Meanwhile anyone with a pencil can do a simple model of doubling at today's rate... Can the worst case be worse than that?
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