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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Norman Swan‏Verified account @normanswan 20 Mar 2020

      Norman Swan Retweeted Jason Om

      1700 on Monday, 3400 on Wednesday or Thursday, 7-8000 by next weekend. True number by then 70-80,000 possibly. Primary school maths. Someone should go figure. No magic fairy will bring that down. 14-20 days behind Italy. Believe in maths not magic.https://twitter.com/jason_om/status/1240980716973748224 …

      Norman Swan added,

      Jason OmVerified account @jason_om
      Three days ago there were 430+ #coronavirus infections in Australia. That’s more than doubled to 870+. In 👏🏼 just 👏🏼 three 👏🏼 days. #covid19 #auspol
      438 replies 2,422 retweets 5,071 likes
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 20 Mar 2020
      Replying to @normanswan

      This is incorrect, and should be deleted. If you are interested in infectious disease modelling, there are experts who I'm sure would be happy to inform you 👍

      12 replies 7 retweets 43 likes
    3. Nell Butler‏ @Erythrina5 20 Mar 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @ellyhowse @normanswan

      It's not correct or incorrect. As is very very clear these are gross estimates based on whats already happened 🙂 not exact figures for scientists but estimates for the public. If you're interested in public communication there are experts who would be happy to inform you 👍

      5 replies 1 retweet 31 likes
    4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 20 Mar 2020
      Replying to @Erythrina5 @ellyhowse @normanswan

      I'm literally an epidemiologist. It's not a 'gross estimate', it's simply wrong. Infectious disease modeling is somewhat harder than plotting y=e^x unfortunately

      10 replies 2 retweets 29 likes
    5. Curvy Zoe Grace‏ @CurvyZoeGrace 21 Mar 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @Erythrina5 and

      I’ll check back on Wednesday to see which one of you is correct. So far, Dr Swann has been more accurate than anything I’ve seen from the govt. But, hey, looking forward to seeing what numbers you predict too.

      5 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 21 Mar 2020
      Replying to @CurvyZoeGrace @Erythrina5 and

      My only predictionhttps://medium.com/@gidmk/stop-making-coronavirus-predictions-9a541eff2fce …

      3:42 AM - 21 Mar 2020
      • 3 Retweets
      • 13 Likes
      • Alan Lewis Tom Richardson. BenWoodSay Eric Strong Dean Zammit Alejandro Weinstein Shelly Billy melancholy
      3 replies 3 retweets 13 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Dr KayRay‏ @ktibus 21 Mar 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @Erythrina5 and

          I reckon the way it's going he's unfortunately going to be right. Doubling every 2 to 3 days, public ignoring advice to stay home, schools continuing so mass movement of 50,000 adults in Victoria alone to places of mass gatherings.

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. BenWoodSay‏ @BenWoodSay 28 Mar 2020
          Replying to @ktibus @GidMK and

          Care to revisit this @ktibus @CurvyZoe @Erythrina5 ?????

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. This Tweet is unavailable.
        2. Alan Lewis‏ @AlanLew56185276 31 Mar 2020
          Replying to @dlmetcalf @GidMK and

          He was right Swan was wrong You were wrong

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. End of conversation

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