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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Norman Swan‏Verified account @normanswan 20 Mar 2020

      Norman Swan Retweeted Jason Om

      1700 on Monday, 3400 on Wednesday or Thursday, 7-8000 by next weekend. True number by then 70-80,000 possibly. Primary school maths. Someone should go figure. No magic fairy will bring that down. 14-20 days behind Italy. Believe in maths not magic.https://twitter.com/jason_om/status/1240980716973748224 …

      Norman Swan added,

      Jason OmVerified account @jason_om
      Three days ago there were 430+ #coronavirus infections in Australia. That’s more than doubled to 870+. In 👏🏼 just 👏🏼 three 👏🏼 days. #covid19 #auspol
      438 replies 2,422 retweets 5,071 likes
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 20 Mar 2020
      Replying to @normanswan

      This is incorrect, and should be deleted. If you are interested in infectious disease modelling, there are experts who I'm sure would be happy to inform you 👍

      12 replies 7 retweets 43 likes
    3. Nell Butler‏ @Erythrina5 20 Mar 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @ellyhowse @normanswan

      It's not correct or incorrect. As is very very clear these are gross estimates based on whats already happened 🙂 not exact figures for scientists but estimates for the public. If you're interested in public communication there are experts who would be happy to inform you 👍

      5 replies 1 retweet 31 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 20 Mar 2020
      Replying to @Erythrina5 @ellyhowse @normanswan

      I'm literally an epidemiologist. It's not a 'gross estimate', it's simply wrong. Infectious disease modeling is somewhat harder than plotting y=e^x unfortunately

      11:00 PM - 20 Mar 2020
      • 2 Retweets
      • 29 Likes
      • 💉💉Becs is vaxxed! DeeCee Tom Corrigan Loretta Kenneth Noisewater Jasmine Rose BenWoodSay Northern Dave Alejandro Weinstein
      10 replies 2 retweets 29 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Nell Butler‏ @Erythrina5 20 Mar 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @ellyhowse @normanswan

          He's not doing infectious disease modelling. He's doing public education. The numbers are gross calculations based on other countries. We don't have special immunity, we aren't special exceptions. It's public education aimed at overcoming denial that leads people to Bondi beach.

          2 replies 0 retweets 11 likes
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 20 Mar 2020
          Replying to @Erythrina5 @ellyhowse @normanswan

          They aren't based on other countries. If they were, they would be very different. They are high school maths, which it turns out isn't a great basis for complex disease spread

          5 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Jason Parsons‏ @jasonmparsons 20 Mar 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @Erythrina5 and

          😳😳😳🔥🔥🔥

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Nell Butler‏ @Erythrina5 20 Mar 2020
          Replying to @jasonmparsons @GidMK and

          Covid19 denialists in every field sadly, even the fields we are depending on right now.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation
        1. George “CODE RED” Kaplan  💉 💉‏ @grgkpln 20 Mar 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @Erythrina5 @ellyhowse

          pic.twitter.com/kGQ0zQZkpR

          0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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        1. George “CODE RED” Kaplan  💉 💉‏ @grgkpln 20 Mar 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @Erythrina5 and

          y=e^x doing a fine job thus far

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. New conversation
        2. Richard Boult - just why are we on this topic?‏ @RB_Citizen 20 Mar 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @Erythrina5 and

          Then share your wisdom grandad, speak up publicly. Instead of attacking one of the few people giving real information.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Nell Butler‏ @Erythrina5 20 Mar 2020
          Replying to @RB_Citizen @GidMK and

          Nell Butler Retweeted

          He thinks it won't be so bad as people think. Thats because the curve doesn't go unchecked. Thereby proving it wasn't so bad. The fact that actions need to be taken to check that curve or it would be that bad doesn't seem to have computed. https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1241252289454592001?s=20 …

          Nell Butler added,

          This Tweet is unavailable.
          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Curvy Zoe Grace‏ @CurvyZoeGrace 21 Mar 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @Erythrina5 and

          I’ll check back on Wednesday to see which one of you is correct. So far, Dr Swann has been more accurate than anything I’ve seen from the govt. But, hey, looking forward to seeing what numbers you predict too.

          5 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 21 Mar 2020
          Replying to @CurvyZoeGrace @Erythrina5 and

          My only predictionhttps://medium.com/@gidmk/stop-making-coronavirus-predictions-9a541eff2fce …

          3 replies 3 retweets 13 likes
        4. Show replies

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