1700 on Monday, 3400 on Wednesday or Thursday, 7-8000 by next weekend. True number by then 70-80,000 possibly. Primary school maths. Someone should go figure. No magic fairy will bring that down. 14-20 days behind Italy. Believe in maths not magic.https://twitter.com/jason_om/status/1240980716973748224 …
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He's not doing infectious disease modelling. He's doing public education. The numbers are gross calculations based on other countries. We don't have special immunity, we aren't special exceptions. It's public education aimed at overcoming denial that leads people to Bondi beach.
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They aren't based on other countries. If they were, they would be very different. They are high school maths, which it turns out isn't a great basis for complex disease spread
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Covid19 denialists in every field sadly, even the fields we are depending on right now.
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Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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y=e^x doing a fine job thus far
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Then share your wisdom grandad, speak up publicly. Instead of attacking one of the few people giving real information.
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He thinks it won't be so bad as people think. Thats because the curve doesn't go unchecked. Thereby proving it wasn't so bad. The fact that actions need to be taken to check that curve or it would be that bad doesn't seem to have computed. https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1241252289454592001?s=20 …
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I’ll check back on Wednesday to see which one of you is correct. So far, Dr Swann has been more accurate than anything I’ve seen from the govt. But, hey, looking forward to seeing what numbers you predict too.
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just

not exact figures for scientists but estimates for the public. If you're interested in public communication there are experts who would be happy to inform you

