This is not a very good analysis. There are a great number of inaccuracies or very problematic assumptions that make the final figures extremely unlikely
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Also, this piece with quotes from an expert pandemic modeler - she doesn't give predictions because of the uncertainty!https://www.smh.com.au/national/it-s-not-magical-pandemic-modeller-demystifies-australia-s-coronavirus-strategy-20200318-p54bfb.html …
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